Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.204890 0.235187 0.269267 0.310603 0.359599 0.416083 0.486505
2025-11-09 0.156283 0.195371 0.244026 0.309743 0.397263 0.511344 0.673847
2025-11-16 0.127721 0.169530 0.225466 0.307211 0.426076 0.596549 0.866927
2025-11-23 0.108011 0.150116 0.209687 0.302350 0.447024 0.671632 1.062133
2025-11-30 0.096925 0.140198 0.204501 0.310250 0.486384 0.780733 1.339323
2025-12-07 0.085391 0.127564 0.192782 0.305082 0.502566 0.854060 1.574321
2025-12-14 0.077530 0.119298 0.186315 0.306787 0.529850 0.951794 1.884535
2025-12-21 0.070696 0.111675 0.179621 0.306602 0.553080 1.046484 2.218714
2025-12-28 0.066202 0.107283 0.177627 0.314248 0.592306 1.182026 2.692341
2026-01-04 0.061856 0.102574 0.174359 0.318780 0.625912 1.313705 3.207110
2026-01-11 0.058071 0.098385 0.171428 0.323361 0.660349 1.455960 3.808855
2026-01-18 0.055249 0.095595 0.170692 0.332174 0.705849 1.637067 4.604938
2026-01-25 0.051856 0.091464 0.167031 0.334593 0.738020 1.796304 5.422852
2026-02-01 0.048544 0.087157 0.162541 0.334587 0.764684 1.949986 6.311506
2026-02-08 0.045334 0.082723 0.157266 0.331978 0.784308 2.090270 7.236575
2026-02-15 0.042219 0.078174 0.151237 0.326682 0.795802 2.210323 8.159451
2026-02-22 0.040603 0.076483 0.151048 0.335341 0.847563 2.475735 9.899821
2026-03-01 0.037985 0.072486 0.145417 0.329681 0.857336 2.605128 11.104989
2026-03-08 0.036172 0.070011 0.142888 0.331548 0.890039 2.827877 12.975928
2026-03-15 0.034364 0.067386 0.139743 0.331345 0.916529 3.038694 14.980289
2026-03-22 0.033268 0.066201 0.139787 0.339724 0.972644 3.388926 18.198715
2026-03-29 0.032027 0.064589 0.138649 0.344691 1.018962 3.720414 21.696736
2026-04-05 0.030873 0.063072 0.137580 0.349713 1.067034 4.082975 25.912222